Previewing Horse Racing’s Super Bowl: The Breeders Cup
The Breeders Cup is the Super Bowl of horse racing. It’s the largest, richest two-day event in horse racing. It’s basically the championships for each division/racing type. Canterbury Park does a really good job of explaining what it is in this post: http://canterburylive.com/2012/10/25/breeders-cup/
Here are my thoughts on each race. Along with who I think will win, and who is worth consideration.
Friday, November 2nd (NBC Sports Network 4:00 pm – 8:00 pm ET)
Juvenile Sprint (6 Furlongs – $500K)
Merit Man, the favorite should win this easily. Lightly raced South Floyd could hit the board and is worth a look for some value.
Marathon (1 3/4 Miles – $500K)
British invader Fame And Glory is my pick for this race. He’s got 14 lifetime wins and earnings of over $3.4 million, but hasn’t won in a while. Still seems like the class of this race. Atigun should like the distance, but has yet to show up in a big race.
Juvenile Fillies Turf (1 Mile – $1M)
I’m going with undefeated Spring Venture in this race. She’s at the top of her game and primed for this race. European Sky Lantern looks to factor, but ultimately just won’t be able to catch Spring Venture.
Juvenile Fillies (1 1/16 Miles – $2M)
Spring In The Air had a dominating, professional win her last time out and looks to be poised to stake her claim as top 2 year old filly. Kauai Katie is poised to have a phenomenal career, but I think she’s just a step behind SITA.
Filly & Mare Turf (1 ¼ Miles – $2M)
I have to go with my girl Marketing Mix in this race. She’s consistent, and the pace in this race should set up nicely for her. French-turned-American horse Zagora could challenge, but will need to step up in class a bit.
Ladies Classic (1 1/8 Miles – $2M)
In what is probably the most anticipated and exciting race of the two days, I’m going with 2011 Ladies Classic champion Royal Delta to win again. The pace sets up perfect for her patent come-from-behind stretch drive. I can’t ignore Chad Brown’s undefeated winner of 10 Awesome Feather, but I think this is one of the most talented fields she’s seen in years.
Saturday, November 3rd (NBC Sports Network 3:30 pm – 8:00 pm ET, NBC 8:00pm – 9:00 pm ET)
Juvenile Turf (1 Mile – $1M)
It’s a turf race. The Euro’s love those so I’m going with Fantastic Moon. After a really tough time in his last race, I hate to totally count out Brown Almighty. He should like the distance.
Filly & Mare Sprint (7 Furlongs – $1M)
Can’t pick against champion Groupie Doll….hasn’t lost since April, one of the classiest horses racing this weekend. I’m not even picking a “maybe” horse. No point.
Dirt Mile (1 Mile – $1M)
2011 Preakness Stakes winner and most beautiful horse in the world Shackleford is the best this race. I don’t see how he doesn’t get it done. Rail Trip should be near the pace and could run away with it if no one goes with him coming down the stretch.
Turf Sprint (6.5 Furlongs – $1M)
He’s inconsistent, but I’m kind of liking Corporate Jungle in this race. Football fans will like Jim Rome’s Mizdirection. Wide open race. Who knows.
Juvenile (1 1/16 Miles – $2M)
I love California-based Power Broker in this race. He’s peaking at the right time and loves the track. East-coast runner Shanghai Bobby is a classy guy, but I just think that the west beats east this time.
Turf (1 1/2 Miles – $3M)
Point of Entry just keeps getting better and better. He should win, making it 6 in a row. I don’t totally want to count out Optimizer. He’s a longshot that could surprise and loves the distance.
Sprint (6 Furlongs – $1.5M)
I’m looking for 2011 Sprint winner Amazombie to repeat. He’s training great and incredibly consistent at this distance. Hamazing Destiny looks, well, amazing, and could pull off a slight upset here.
Mile (1 Mile on turf – $2M)
Irish-bred Obviously is the hot horse coming into this race. He loves the track, been training great. 2011 Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom is making his return after a long layoff and will be the definite emotional favorite, but AK loves distance, this race is short on that.
Classic (1 ¼ Miles – $5M)
Now for the premier event, the Breeders Cup Classic. This is a tough, tough race to pick this year. I’m switching up my pick here at the last minute and going with Game On Dude. He loves Santa Anita and seems to be the one of the more consistent horses in the race. Ultimately I couldn’t find a reason NOT to pick him. I love To Honor And Serve, but I just don’t think this is his best distance. Flat Out raises too many questions for me.